If you like fast paced, offensive basketball, then you won't want to miss this game. Alabama averages just under 91 points per game, while Florida 84.4 per game. The Gators have a nice home court advantage, but that hasn't really translated to Against The Spread success (they are 6-8 ATS at home this season). This is the type of game that I expect to be heavy on lead changes before ultimately being decided in the final minute. It's worth noting that the Gators opened as home underdogs, but are now 3-point favorites. I am going to take the points here with the expectation that the Tide will come out firing after suffering a tough loss to Tennessee on Saturday.

Florida is 13-1 SU at home. The Crimson Tide are 2-5 ATS on the road as underdogs. Alabama won the first meeting in overtime after the Gators blew a late lead. They have struggled in hostile environments with losses at Kentucky, Auburn, and Tennessee, losing by more than 10 points, or more, in all three of those road games. They do have the number one offense in terms of efficiency but have allowed 95.3 points over their last three games. The Gators hold their opponents to 71.5 points per game at home and are one of the top best offensive rebounding teams in the country.

Florida lost to Alabama 98-93 on Feb. 21 in a game where the Gators blew a 10-point lead. I like Florida to get revenge at home. The Gators are the third-best offensive rebounding team in the country. Defensive rebounding is one of Alabama's biggest weaknesses. The Tide rank 10th in the SEC in that department and the Gators pulled down 17 offensive boards in the first meeting. And while this is a great spot to back Florida, it's also a good spot to fade Alabama. The Tide are coming off an emotional home loss to Tennessee and now go on the road where they are 5-4 this season. The wrong team is favored here, so I'll back Florida as a small home dog.