The Aggies are seeking a triple dose of revenge after San Diego State defeated them twice this season and eliminated them from the conference tournament last year. I think this line is a trap. The Aggies own a +14.6 point differential over their past five games, while the Aztecs are +6.2 in their past five. San Diego State owns a negative point differential this season when playing without rest. They expended a lot of energy on defense holding San Jose State to 49 points. I like the Aggies in a mild upset!

This game should be an absolute classic, as Utah State is arguably the hottest team in the conference and San Diego State remains the class of the Mountain West. The Aggies have won seven straight games, six by double digits, and really haven’t had a substandard performance in nearly a month. It will not be easy for Utah State’s sharp-shooting offense to click on all cylinders against one of the most efficient defenses in the country, but when splitting hairs on the handicap I like the desperation factor in terms of the NCAA Tournament picture. Jerry Palm currently has Utah State as one of the last four in, heading to Dayton for the play-in, and a win here would not only secure the Aggies’ spot in the tournament as the auto-bid but could move them out of the First Four.