A surprising ATS home winning streak in February lies with Fordham. The Rams are 4-0 ATS on their own floor this month, including victories over La Salle, George Mason and Rhode Island. They also covered as underdogs in a six-point loss to VCU. Expect the Rams to continue their success against UMass, which ranks 333rd in the country in scoring defense.

This is about one team being ice cold and another gaining momentum as the Atlantic 10 Tournament nears. UMass has lost four of its last six games and didn’t cover in any of those. Fordham’s two losses in its last five came against A-10 elites Davidson and VCU. It covered in four of those five. I’m on Fordham to win at home, so I'll take the money line.