My model is projecting South Alabama to win this game by 2 points. They're expected to be one of the toughest teams in the Sun Belt and Georgia State has gone 2-5 so far in conference play. We just covered playing against the Panthers last time with Troy, who won outright as a dog and I think we see a similar result here. I'll grab the full possession in the +3 points to secure it with South Alabama.

This line makes no sense to me. The Panthers are terrible. They are just 2-11 ATS in their last 11 games, including 0-4 SU and ATS at home against conference opponents. In the first matchup between these teams, the Jaguars dominated on both ends of the court and came away with a nine point victory. The Jaguars are the much better team. Kenpom ranks them 71 spots ahead of the Panthers. The wrong team is favored here. No need to take the points. Take the Jaguars to win straight up.