The Over has cashed in Purdue's last four games, and Purdue is only 2-7 against-the-spread in its last nine, which includes both Boilermaker losses. Illinois has looked like the best Big Ten team in winning its last six (5-1 ATS). Both teams are loaded with offense and like to play quickly, but, in such a big game, I’m looking for both stellar defenses to help slow the pace. The Under is 5-1 in Purdue's last six game as an underdog. Under is the top play.

Spectacular way to tip off the holiday. The Illini's starting lineup of Trent Frazier, Alfonso Plummer, Jacob Grandison, Da'Monte Williams and Kofi Cockburn is the best performing lineup in the country with at least 150 possessions played. Illinois also apparently will get a key player back in guard Andre Curbelo. He hasn't played in nearly two months due to injury but is suited up. Purdue is just 2-7 ATS in its past nine -- we'll pay the extra nickel for the moneyline and avoid a possible push in a 1-point Illini win. Both teams are stellar offensively but Illinois is quite a bit better defensively.