Villanova has lost two straight and it's led to some value on this spread. The Wildcats still have one of the most efficient offenses in the country, and I don't think their shooting struggles of late are a long-term problem. Xavier's been a nice surprise, but this will be only its second true road game of the season, and first in conference play.

I love this Xavier team. The Musketeers have talent from top to bottom. They are 9-2 ATS including 3-0 ATS as an underdog. This is a really big game for their Big East regular season championship hopes. The Wildcats have been struggling against good teams. They are 1-4 SU and ATS against teams that Kenpom ranks in the top 50. Kenpom ranks the Musketeers at 23rd. The Musketeers are going to give the Wildcats a tough time. This is going to be a fun game to watch. The Musketeers will play good enough to cover this spread.