BYU is a much better squad at home than on the road, scoring more points and shooting at a higher percentage, and nine of their 13 home games have gone Over the total. Gonzaga is fast everywhere and has gone Over the total in 10 of their last 11 on the road. Over is the play.

The last time Gonzaga was laying five points or fewer came two weeks ago at Saint Mary’s, and the Zags rolled. They’ve won their last 19 games in a row, which includes 13-0 in WCC play. BYU and Saint Mary’s both should make the NCAAs, but both their ratings are slightly juiced because of association with Gonzaga in the WCC. This number should be higher than the spread shows. The Zags have won and covered the last five meetings, easily. Zags are the play.

This number comes in a tad low for teams with a ton of offensive firepower. Gonzaga has topped the total in 10 of the last 11 away tests, while BYU has done so in six straight home games. They eclipsed 160 in the last meeting, with Cougars rim protector Yoeli Childs out. He is back but is foul-prone so could spend considerable time on the bench.

The Zags looks average in surviving San Francisco. Now they're on the road against a ranked opponent. This environment will be electric, and BYU is catching Gonzaga at the right time. Cougars money line (+158) is the play.