With Villanova two games behind Seton Hall in the standings, this is a much bigger game for the Wildcats than the Pirates. In addition, Villanova has won 17 straight home games against Seton Hall, which hasn't won at Villanova since 1994. My model says the Wildcats cover two-thirds of the time, so you're getting solid value with Villanova.

Seton Hall has one of the best defenses in the country, allowing just 89.7 points per 100 possessions, compared to Villanova's 96.4. The Pirates' Myles Powell broke out of a mini shooting slump by scoring 34 points at Georgetown on Wednesday. Even though Villanova has owned the series in Philly, Seton Hall is the better team, and I'll always take the better team getting points.