Both Florida State and Michigan have elevated their play in the big dance. The Seminoles' combination of size and length are what gave the Wolverines fits in the Big Ten. Yet this is a case of a power-five conference school overachieving with wins over Xavier and Gonzaga. Grab Michigan.

Michigan has the hot roll going, but it's not just a lucky Cinderella run, which may be the case for Florida State. The Wolverines have won their last 12 games, covering the spread in 10 of them. They're playing on a high level right now, and the Seminoles will have problems. I have Michigan almost eight points better than FSU, so this is an easy play for me.