Somebody has to cover in this game, which will end a combined 0-9 ATS slide in the NCAA Tournament. It should be Florida State, whose 10-man rotation can wear down Missouri, reduced again to eight scholarship players. While the Tigers rest their hopes on NBA prospect Michael Porter Jr. in his third game back from injury, his re-emergence is nearly canceled out by the suspension of Jordan Barnett (13.7 ppg). Porter is not in ideal form, and FSU’s twin 7-foot towers present a challenge.

I'm expecting a nice performance from Michael Porter Jr. to lead the Tigers to a win. My simulations have Missouri as a -1 favorite, making the Tigers a nice value bet at +1.5