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Do I think this bet wins? Probably not. But I also don't really think it loses and ideally we get fortunate on a one-goal Bayern Munich win. Or obviously draw. Hoffenheim (feel like I sneezed) is third in the Bundesliga and has only four losses. Bayern is of course first. I would not play +1.5. This is the only book offering 2. I'm expecting a push in all honesty.
While Bayern Munich are in a bit of a funk right now, even when losing and drawing they've been good for goals. Bayern Munich's 20 matches this season have seen 92 goals. Hoffenheim, while much less than that, have the second best offense with 43 scored in 20 matches. We are going to have Harry Kane, Michael Olise, Luis Diaz, Lennert Karl, and Andrej Kramaric all on the pitch at the same time. I'm going to ladder goals in this one, but I have to take that 3.5 line.
I'm a Bayern Munich fan, so part of me really hopes I miss this bet. The part of me that loves money, thinks this is the right way to play this. Bayern Munich do this every season, they struggle for a like a month without warning. They are coming off back to back poor performances that saw them drop points to Augsburg and Hamburg. They're now playing a Hoffenheim team who are the most in form team in Germany. I think Bayern could still win, but 1.5 goals is wild for how good Hoffenheim have been in 2026, and I wouldn't be shocked to see another draw.

