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    Sun, Oct 015:00 pm UTCCaesars Superdome
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Tampa Bay
    Buccaneers
    TB
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-8
    ATS11-6
    O/U6-11-0
    FINAL SCORE
    26
    -
    9
    New Orleans
    Saints
    NO
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L9-8
    ATS6-10
    O/U6-11-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    9-8
    Win /Loss
    9-8
    11-6
    Spread
    6-10
    6-11-0
    Over / Under
    6-11-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
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    WR
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    LB
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    DB
    Key Injuries
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    OG
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    WR
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    SS
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    TB @ NO
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    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    TB @ NO
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    OVER / UNDER
    TB @ NO
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    73%
    PUBLIC
    27%
    MONEY
    45%
    PUBLIC
    55%
    MONEY
    Over46%
    PUBLIC
    Under54%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Expert Picks

    Money LineNew Orleans -185
    LOSS
    Unit0.5
    +1096
    42-17 in Last 59 NFL ML Picks
    +535
    10-4 in Last 14 NO ML Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    Told myself that I would throw a half unit down if this dipped back under -200 even with Derek Carr active. Surprised it did drop. Alvin Kamara (back from suspension) makes such a huge difference in that New Orleans offense. Short week for the Bucs, who are down top corner Jamel Dean. Fellow CB Carlton Davis is not 100%.

    Pick Made: Oct 01, 4:29 pm UTC
    Point SpreadTampa Bay +3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +917
    83-66-3 in Last 152 NFL Picks
    +362
    26-20 in Last 46 NFL ATS Picks
    Mike's Analysis:

    How about Baker Mayfield? The well-traveled QB has begun his stint with Tampa Bay by largely avoiding interceptions (one) and sacks (three). The Saints welcome back RB Alvin Kamara from suspension, but he apparently won't be accepting handoffs from Derek Carr. Ex-Buc Jameis Winston likely gets the call, and any team he starts on should not be yielding more than a field goal. This matchup figures to be low-scoring, so the hook is meaningful.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 10:04 pm UTC
    Point SpreadTampa Bay +3.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2220
    202-150-2 in Last 354 NFL Picks
    +1644
    79-56-2 in Last 137 NFL ATS Picks
    +1044
    46-32 in Last 78 NO ATS Picks
    Larry's Analysis:

    The Bucs were humbled on national TV on Monday, but this is more of their weight class. Even if Derek Carr (shoulder) plays, he won't be 100 percent. Dennis Allen is a conservative coach who will be happy winning 20-17 as opposed to taking chances, especially if Jameis Winston is his quarterback. Grab the points.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 9:58 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsRachaad White UNDER 52.5 Total Rushing Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +555
    9-4 in Last 13 NFL Player Props Picks
    Dave's Analysis:

    When asked about the Bucs run game after their Monday night loss, coach Todd Bowles said "we didn't have one." Six days later, he still might not have one. The Saints have given up just 3.9 yards per carry but ranked sixth-best in rushes of five plus yards allowed, and they've held enemy running backs to 1.34 yards before contact per rush, an example of just how good their defensive line is. That brings us to White, who according to Next Gen Stats, has totaled negative-65 rushing yards over expected so far this season. That sounds bad. White has only been over 40 rushing yards once this season, at Chicago, and is averaging 3.1 yards per carry with 0.81 yards before contact over 48 runs.

    Pick Made: Sep 29, 8:14 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsMike Evans UNDER 59.5 Total Receiving Yards -139
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    The Mike Evans-Marshon Lattimore WR-CB rivalry is easily the most heated in the NFL. The only time they faced off in 2022, a bench clearing brawl ensued and both players were ejected. Evans has been held under 50 yards in three of his last four games against Lattimore and for his career, he's only caught 14 of the 29 targets when the Saints CB was the closest defender. Expect a quiet day on Sunday from Tampa's top WR.

    Pick Made: Sep 28, 10:49 pm UTC
    Over / UnderUNDER 40 -110
    WIN
    Unit0.5
    +416.5
    19-12 in Last 31 NFL O/U Picks
    +250
    3-0 in Last 3 TB O/U Picks
    Matt's Analysis:

    DraftKings is the only SL book still with 40 so guess we will grab it as NO likely will be without Derek Carr. The Bucs are on a short week and their offense was exposed by a good Philly defense on Monday night. Alvin Kamara is back for the Saints from suspension. The SL Model has 34 points scored. Half unit simply so far out but it sure feels like a 20-17 game.

    Pick Made: Sep 26, 2:41 pm UTC
    Point SpreadTampa Bay +3 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +908
    46-33-4 in Last 83 TB ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Saints offense struggled last week even before Derek Carr's injury, though it was helped by a punt return TD. While Jameis Winston is a high-end backup, the loss of Carr is still a notable downgrade for the New Orleans offense. The Saints defense looks good on paper but has faced a trio of limited or banged-up offenses, and the Bucs appear to be their toughest matchup to date. I love what Dave Canales has done with the Tampa Bay offense to exceed expectations thus far, and the Bucs have a great shot at winning this game. I'm grabbing the 3 now as a competitive game with Philly on Monday night should move the line significantly.

    Pick Made: Sep 25, 5:09 pm UTC

    Team Injuries

    Tampa Bay Buccaneers
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    WR
    Russell Gage
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Mike Greene
    CalfQuestionable
    Monday, Jan 22, 2024
    Avatar
    LB
    Anthony Nelson
    ElbowQuestionable
    Avatar
    DB
    Jamel Dean
    BackQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Kaevon Merriweather
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    QB
    John Wolford
    IllnessQuestionable
    New Orleans Saints
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OG
    Trai Turner
    QuadricepsQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Michael Thomas
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    SS
    Marcus Maye
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Marshon Lattimore
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Ryan Ramczyk
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Andrew Dowell
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    DT
    Malcolm Roach
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    RB
    Eno Benjamin
    AchillesQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Nephi Sewell
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    OG
    Nick Saldiveri
    ShoulderQuestionable
    Friday, Jan 19, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Alvin Kamara
    AnkleQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Isaac Yiadom
    ConcussionQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Landon Young
    KneeQuestionable
    Avatar
    CB
    Lonnie Johnson
    KneeQuestionable