It's usually a bad idea to bet against the Bucks, who have gone 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games, as well as 15-4-2 ATS in their last 21 road games. But I can't resist the home dog Wednesday. The Kings come back from a brutal four-game road trip against the best of the West (3-1 ATS). Home is where the Kings play their best, covering the spread in 10 of their last 11 games.

Giannis Antetokounmpo (knee) is listed as probable for this matchup after sitting out Monday’s game against the Bulls, so look for the Bucks to be back at full strength Wednesday. The last time these two teams met in Milwaukee, the Bucks rolled the Kings by 35 points. The Kings are a much better team at home, but I’ll take the Bucks to cover this relatively small line.