I deleted my original F5 Under 4.5 play because the Twins have made a pitching change -- struggling Simeon Woods Richardson (0-6, 7.20 ERA) is now starting. So will switch up the play to this. It's White Sox ace Davis Martin (7-1, 2.04 ERA). He is 3-0 with a 1.14 ERA in four home starts.

With Luke Keaschall and Austin Martin getting days off here, two of the more stingy batters for strikeouts are sitting, with a couple of worse options in Orlando Arcia and Ryan Kreidler getting the day game start. Davis Martin has a deep arsenal of six pitches that he spreads his strikeouts between, and he's a significant favorite to cover at least six innings here. He's hit 1 K/inning in 8/10 starts this year, so the projected work matched with the lineup subs has pushed my projection up to where this +110 is showing some value now.

FanDuel. Davis Martin has cleared this line in 8/10 starts this season, including fanning 7+ hitters in six straight outings. He’ll face a middling Twins lineup today - Minnesota has been league average over the last two weeks against righties with a 21% K%, but only have accrued a .677 OPS. Martin, who is as proficient with strikeouts against lefties as he is with righties, should see more southpaws today. That does bode well, as the White Sox hurler limits lefties to a .186 average.