Kansas City had their five game winning streak snapped yesterday, allowing three runs in the 9th. We’ll continue the Patrick Corbin trend as he owns a 12.10 ERA in August in 9.2 innings while also having a 5.17 ERA on the road this season. On the other hand, Michael Lorenzen hasn’t given up a run in his last 11 innings pitched. The Royals have also won 12 straight Thursday games against teams with a sub .500 record.

Welp, the Royals blew an early 3-1 lead on Wednesday to see a five-game winning streak snapped, but I still don't think they should be home dogs Thursday in the series finale against Patrick Corbin. The past couple of seasons, bettors would rejoice on "Patrick Corbin Day" because he was so bad and a sure fade. That hadn't been the case for a chunk of 2025, but Corbin has regressed of late at 0-2 with a 12.10 ERA in August. Short of the Royals throwing the other auto-fade of the past few years in Dallas Keuchel out there (and he's not with any team), then yeah I am more than happy to be getting a +1 gift.