San Diego State only has four games remaining on its regular-season schedule, and this one will be the toughest in its quest for a perfect season. Boise State is 12-1 at home this season and 13-3 ATS in its last 16 there. But the Aztecs have been at their best on the road with a smothering defense, going 11-1 ATS. I’m on San Diego State to keep rolling.

Both teams have a plus-3 record on Overs, and San Diego State has hurdled the total in five of its last six games - away and overall. The Broncos average 77.7 points, 33rd-most in Division I, and a rabid home crowd could help them navigate the Aztecs’ league-best defense. An approximation of the scoring in last month’s meeting - 148 points - will do the trick.

The pressure continues to build for San Diego State as its winning streak is now at 25 games. The Aztecs clinched the Mountain West title with their last win at home, with the fans charging the court and the players cutting down the nets. But there are more games to be played, and this could be the toughest opponent left on their schedule. Boise State has been very successful at home, going 13-3 ATS in its last 16 games. The Broncos blew out San Diego State at home, 88-64, last season. This purely is a situational play for me, fading San Diego State after a big celebration.