Washington struggled to break through offensively on the road while surrendering 10 goals over a 2 game span. Returning to familiar surroundings should mean a renewed emphasis on defensive assignments trying to grind down on Leafs team that's really struggling to generate. I would have preferred a Woll - Thompson match-up but won't downgrade the bet too much with Hildeby. I do see this a bit higher variance so rather than laying -20 to go under 6 I prefer the + money at 5.5 for a partial position.