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Sat, May 1010:00 pm UTCLenovo Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Washington
Capitals
WAS
Last 5 ML
W/L56-36
ATS51-41
O/U41-44-7
FINAL SCORE
0
-
4
Carolina
Hurricanes
CAR
Last 5 ML
W/L55-38
ATS43-50
O/U38-48-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
56-36
Win /Loss
55-38
51-41
Spread
43-50
41-44-7
Over / Under
38-48-7
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
WAS @ CAR
Subscribers Only

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MONEYLINE
WAS @ CAR
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OVER / UNDER
WAS @ CAR
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61%
PUBLIC
39%
MONEY
28%
PUBLIC
72%
MONEY
Over71%
PUBLIC
Under29%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineWashington +205
LOSS
Unit1.0
+606
21-16 in Last 37 NHL Picks
+293
8-6 in Last 14 NHL ML Picks
+583
10-7 in Last 17 CAR ML Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

We're puzzled at the degree to which the Caps are being discounted in this series. Washington split the season set with the Canes and enters tonight all level at 1-1 in this series, and answered the challenge on Thursday in Game 2 when controlling the action end-to-end in a 3-1 win, Tom Wilson stepping up with a big night featuring a goal, and Logan Thompson again looked very steady in goal. The Canes have been emphasizing quantity more than quality in their shots on goal and were even a bit short of the former on Thursday. The power play was also pierced for the first time in the playoffs after 17 PKs back to the Devils series. Play Caps on Money Line

Pick Made: May 10, 4:07 pm UTC on Caesars
Over / UnderUnder 5.5 -105
WIN
Unit1.0
+606
21-16 in Last 37 NHL Picks
+81
3-2 in Last 5 NHL O/U Picks
+441
8-3-1 in Last 12 WAS O/U Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

These teams seem as intent on inflicting punishment on the other almost as much as scoring goals. In the first two games, a total of seven goals have been scored, one of those in an OT (by Carolina) in Game One. The Canes had also killed 17 straight penalties in the playoffs before the Caps solved them in Game 2. Carolina kept Washington hemmed in its own end in Game One, though that dynamic flipped as the Caps enjoyed the edge in Game 2. The Canes have seemed content to spray shots at Logan Thompson, hoping for action on rebounds and tips, but need to up the quality quotient if they are to achieve a real breakthrough in this series. Play Caps-Canes Under

Pick Made: May 10, 4:04 pm UTC on Caesars
Point SpreadCarolina -1 -128
WIN
Unit1.0
+3964.5
146-71-8 in Last 225 NHL Sides Picks
+2875.5
80-33-8 in Last 121 NHL ATS Picks
+499.5
11-4-1 in Last 16 CAR ATS Picks
Matt's Analysis:

Probably pushes but maybe we get lucky on an empty-netter. Much like Florida yesterday, I expect the Canes to win but we weren't offered Panthers -1 or I would have played it on here (and would have pushed). I can't justify Hurricanes at -200 but, again, I think they win and don't want to get bitten on an EN goal and lose Caps +1.5. I'd rather risk the push. The Canes went 31-9-1 at Lenovo Center during the regular season -- tied for the most home wins in the NHL -- and started the postseason 3-0 at home.

Pick Made: May 10, 2:14 pm UTC on BetRivers

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Team Injuries

Washington Capitals
Tuesday, Apr 22, 2025
Avatar
D
Martin Fehervary
KneeOut
Carolina Hurricanes
Tuesday, May 20, 2025
Avatar
C
Mark Jankowski
UndisclosedOut
Avatar
D
Jalen Chatfield
UndisclosedOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
62%
56-33, +1361
52-37, -1008
58%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
60%
26-17, +740
34-10, +550
77%
As Underdog or Even
STATUS
As Favorite
59%
22-15, +1192
49-33, -919
59%
When Line was +180 to +210
MONEY LINE
When Line was -254 to -224
0%
0-1, -100
4-6, -429
40%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
56%
13-10, +589
34-10, +550
77%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
58%
17-12, +833
17-15, -341
53%
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
60%
12-8, +543
11-12, -625
47%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
64%
49-27, +1276
44-30, -756
59%
vs CAR
HEAD TO HEAD
vs WAS
50%
3-3, +114
3-3, -145
50%
when Logan Thompson starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Frederik Andersen starts
73%
36-13, +1514
17-11, -236
60%
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