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Tue, Apr 2211:30 pm UTCScotiabank Arena
Ottawa
Senators
OTT
Last 5 ML
W/L47-41
ATS36-52
O/U38-41-9
FINAL SCORE
2
-
3
Toronto
Maple Leafs
TOR
Last 5 ML
W/L59-36
ATS49-46
O/U46-46-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
47-41
Win /Loss
59-36
36-52
Spread
49-46
38-41-9
Over / Under
46-46-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OTT @ TOR
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MONEYLINE
OTT @ TOR
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OVER / UNDER
OTT @ TOR
Subscribers Only

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39%
PUBLIC
61%
MONEY
11%
PUBLIC
89%
MONEY
Over91%
PUBLIC
Under9%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineToronto -164
WIN
Unit0.5
+3666
161-87-9 in Last 257 NHL Picks
+1940
97-55 in Last 152 NHL ML Picks
+944
16-5 in Last 21 OTT ML Picks
Matt's Analysis:

This has come a fair amount down. I expect Ottawa to play much better in Game 2 as few players had any postseason experience in Game 1. But the Sens also are under .500 away and the Leafs 28-13-1 at home. If Anthony Stolarz plays like he did in the opener, the Toronto Cup drought very well may end. He had a 1.86 GAA at home during the RS. I probably play -1 during the RS, but so many one-goal postseason games.

Pick Made: Apr 22, 10:41 pm UTC on Caesars
SpreadToronto -1.5 +158
LOSS
Unit1.0
+343
6-6 in Last 12 NHL ATS Picks
Bruce's Analysis:

Since 1967 is a long time to wait for a title...is this the year (finally) for the Leafs? Maybe. Consider Sunday's 6-2 romp past the Sens as a warning shot for the rest of the NHL. Ottawa entered Scotiabank Arena in good form but was quickly back on its heels as Toronto jumped on Linus Ullmark early with Oliver-Eckman Larsson scoring just seven minutes into the first period and Mitch Marner doubling the lead shortly thereafter. More ominous for Ottawa was 38 penalty minutes and the Toronto power play which scored three times, while Anthony Stolarz looked quite comfy for the Leafs in his second-ever playoff game, stopping 31 of 33 shots. Play Maple Leafs on Puck Line

Pick Made: Apr 22, 7:08 pm UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Ottawa Senators
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2026
Avatar
C
Michael Amadio
RestOut
Avatar
D
Thomas Chabot
RestOut
Avatar
LW
Brady Tkachuk
RestOut
Avatar
LW
Tim Stutzle
RestOut
Avatar
D
Jake Sanderson
RestOut
Sunday, Apr 12, 2026
Avatar
D
Tyler Kleven
Upper BodyOut
Toronto Maple Leafs
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2026
Avatar
C
Calle Jarnkrok
UndisclosedOut
Saturday, Apr 11, 2026
Avatar
G
Anthony Stolarz
Lower BodyOut
Avatar
D
Brandon Carlo
Lower BodyOut
Avatar
C
Dakota Joshua
Upper BodyOut
Friday, Mar 13, 2026
Avatar
C
Auston Matthews
KneeOut
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