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Sun, Apr 2011:00 pm UTCScotiabank Arena
Ottawa
Senators
OTT
Last 5 ML
W/L47-41
ATS36-52
O/U38-41-9
FINAL SCORE
2
-
6
Toronto
Maple Leafs
TOR
Last 5 ML
W/L59-36
ATS49-46
O/U46-46-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ML
47-41
Win /Loss
59-36
36-52
Spread
49-46
38-41-9
Over / Under
46-46-3
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
OTT @ TOR
Subscribers Only

Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

MONEYLINE
OTT @ TOR
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OVER / UNDER
OTT @ TOR
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65%
PUBLIC
35%
MONEY
16%
PUBLIC
84%
MONEY
Over85%
PUBLIC
Under15%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

Money LineToronto -161
WIN
Unit1.0
+3666
161-87-9 Last 257 NHL
+1940
97-55 Last 152 NHL ML
+844
16-6 Last 22 NHL ML
Matt's Analysis:

We are at that time of year where I absolutely root for the Leafs to finally win the Cup again (since the Blackhawks obviously can't), only to be bitterly disappointed -- usually in Round 1. If there's one thing left in my sports life that I'd like to be in person for, it would be in Toronto right after a Cup win just like being on the North Side of Chicago after a Cubs WS win. I do think the Leafs will get to at least Round 2 this time, but the "Battle of Ontario" should be an entertaining and likely long series. Ottawa swept the RS series, but the Bulls swept the RS series vs. the Heat and we saw what little that mattered.

Pick Made: Apr 20, 12:15 pm UTC on BetMGM
SpreadToronto -1.5 +170
WIN
Unit1.0
Bruce's Analysis:

It's time for the Leafs to slay this Ottawa dragon after not beating the Sens since December, 2023. Not to mention advancing to the Cup finals for the first time since 1967; Toronto thinks Craig Berube, who worked Stanley Cup magic before with the Blues in his first season in charge, might be the man. We know about the Matthews-Marner-Taveras axis of firepower, but Toronto is more solid in goal than it's been in years with either Anthony Stolarz or Joseph Woll viable alternatives for Berube. Whereas the Leafs have been losing to playoff-seasoned teams in recent postseasons, Ottawa is a newcomer, and even with Brady Tkachuk apparently available, the Sens' struggles to score five-on-five likely proves their undoing. Play Maple Leafs on Puck Line

Pick Made: Apr 20, 8:23 am UTC on Caesars

Team Injuries

Ottawa Senators
Monday, May 04, 2026
Avatar
C
Ridly Greig
SuspensionOut
Monday, Apr 27, 2026
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D
Artem Zub
Lower BodyOut
Sunday, Apr 26, 2026
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D
Jake Sanderson
ConcussionOut
Toronto Maple Leafs
Sunday, May 31, 2026
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C
Max Domi
BackOut
Wednesday, Apr 15, 2026
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C
Calle Jarnkrok
UndisclosedOut
Saturday, Apr 11, 2026
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D
Brandon Carlo
Lower BodyOut
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C
Dakota Joshua
Upper BodyOut
Friday, Mar 13, 2026
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C
Auston Matthews
KneeOut
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