Though a winner at Philadelphia and Montreal in their last two road games, the Sens are also not far removed from losing all five on a road trip earlier this month. For the season, Ottawa has also lost 13 of 19 away, so the Sens hardly qualify as road warriors. Meanwhile it's been a good week for the Red Wings, who have thumped the Flyers and Golden Knights in back-to-back games at little Caesars as the latest efforts in a homestand that has seen Detroit win 3 of 4, with recently-surging Tampa Bay also victimized. Note Alex Lyon's 13-5-1 mark in goal for Detroit. Play Red Wings on Money Line

The Red Wings are still getting no respect even after a 9-3 record to start 2024. BTW Ottawa is 5-9 in 2024. The Wings have 57 pts in 49 games or 1.16 pts per game. Ottawa has 40 pts in 46 games or .87 pts per game. Just off pts per game (a simple rating system) Detroit should be the favorite on neutral ice. The agrument is how much is how ice worth between 30 to 50 cents. So if we say Detroit (1.16-0.87) is 29 cents better and add 30 cents for home ice we have -159. Now I've rated every player on both teams to get my power rating, my model has Detroit-200. I bet 1.5 units on the Wings.

The Wings have the superior goalie, at least currently, in Alex Lyon (13-6-1, 2.49 GAA, .924 save percentage, two straight terrific outings) over the disappointing Joonas Korpisalo (11-16-0, 3.44 GAA, .888 SV). Detroit is 3-1 on its current homestand as both teams play their final game before the AS break. Wings forward Dylan Larkin has an 11-game points streak. Ottawa is 3-10 in its past 13 away.