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Thu 06/23 | 12:00 AM UTC | Tampa
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Colorado Avalanche 71-30, +670 ML
COL -1.5+210
COL -110
Over 6+105
Tampa Bay Lightning 65-39, +219 ML
TB +1.5-260
TB -110
Under 6-125

Expert Picks

Colorado 3 @ Tampa Bay 2 | 06/23 | 12:00 AM UTC

UNDER 6

WIN

ANALYSIS: The past two games have seen the teams combine for 112 penalty minutes. This leads to a plethora of power-play opportunities and high-scoring games. I think each club knows it can't commit "silly" penalties going forward. Both have really efficient man-advantage units. I expect a bounce-back performance from Colorado's blue line in Game 4. The Under is 4-1 in the Avalanche's last five contests after allowing five or more goals. There is a lot of offensive production that is sitting on the bench. I really like the Under after three straight Overs.

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Jeff Hochman

West Coast Wiseguy
+90 2-1-1 IN LAST 4 NHL O/U PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 COL O/U PICKS
+90 2-1 IN LAST 3 TB O/U PICKS

Season Splits

71-30, +670 ML
65-39, +219 ML
All Games
ALL
All Games
70%
70-29, +681
64-38, +149
62%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
63%
31-18, +44
35-15, +353
70%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or Even
73%
67-24, +864
9-12, -180
42%
When Line was -126 to +104
MONEY LINE
When Line was -124 to +106
60%
6-4, +131
7-10, -349
41%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
68%
28-13, +227
1-0, +96
100%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
65%
30-16, +398
28-25, -150
52%
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing 2.6 to 2.9 GPG
76%
19-6, +440
15-11, -92
57%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
70%
62-26, +548
53-36, -409
59%
vs TB
HEAD TO HEAD
vs COL
80%
4-1, +214
1-4, -315
20%
when Darcy Kuemper starts
PROJECTED STARTER
when Andrei Vasilevskiy starts
71%
50-20, +714
53-30, +368
63%