I know, I know, we lost on the stupid puckline in Game 1 on an empty-net goal with about 22 seconds left. That's the risk at +1.5. However, the Avalanche have ruled out No. 1 goaltender Darcy Kuemper tonight, and while Pavel Francouz is solid, he's a downgrade. And if he gets hurt, the Avs are in major trouble with third-stringer Justus Annunen -- if I'm the Oilers, aren't I crashing the net to get Francouz out of there? Just from my regular-season hatred of losing on the moneyline in overtime, I'm going back to the Edmonton puckline here at -150 although I now think there's a much better chance the Oilers win. So if you wanted to play the +145 ML, I get it. Maybe Oilers +0.5 regulation.

I feel like we’ve seen this story unfold before with a ridiculously high scoring game in Game 1 that the Oilers lose before bouncing back and winning in Game 2 on the road. The Oilers lost but they gained plenty of confidence, they know they can score at will and hang with the Avs. I think they know how the Avs will try to attack them now as well. This game should be high scoring again and I think that pushes this game to much closer to a toss-up. I like the Oilers at plus money.