Stars have won 5 of their last 7 games and they are 15-6-1 at home this season. Predators have won 4 of their last 5 but they lost 4 straight before that. Predators are worse on the road at 14-7-4 and they actually dominated this series last season 6-3 straight up. However, 5 of those wins were in OT or a SO so they coulda gone either way. Take the cheap price on the home team.

Nashville is 4-1 in its past five games, despite getting outshot in every game (180-133 total). That's a major red flag in hockey. The Predators own a -109 shot differential, while the Stars are +9 this season. Nashville is ranked No. 1 in penalties per game (4.70), while Dallas is ranked No. 29 (3.23). The Stars are ranked No. 2 in face-off win percentage (54.8), while the Predators are ranked No. 13 (50.5). Nashville defeated the Stars in Dallas on Nov. 10, despite getting outshot 27-22. I like the home team.