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Understanding Public and Money
Expert Picks
The Canadiens will be without interim head coach Dominique Ducharme after he tested positive for COVID. Look, I didn't play hockey past high school, but a head coach is pretty darn important in the NHL, especially at home when teams have the last line change. Vegas probably will be without center Chandler Stephenson again but should have winger Tomas Nosek back from injury. The Knights don't really have to worry about the crowd with a 3,500-fan limit in Montreal. Vegas is 11-5 in its past 16 on the road. I'm already on the Under 5.5 goals (since dropped to 5.0) for this one so it could be a great or lousy night.
I was upset at myself staying off the Canadiens Game 2 win after taking them on the money line in Game 1. However, the Canadiens are a much better team than people give them credit for and Carey Price can steal a game at any time. The Canadiens were worse at home in the regular season but the Golden Knights were worse on the road. The Canadiens have held the Knights to 0 for 6 on their power play so far this series, I like the Canadiens at plus money at home.
I'm surprised oddsmakers are opening this total at 5.5 goals. The first two Habs-Knights games opened at 5.5 only to close at 5.0 -- and we won both times on Under 5.5 as both games finished right on five goals. Were we lucky that an empty-net goal wasn't scored in each game? Absolutely, but a win is a win, and we will hit the Under again for Game 3 (before it almost surely drops to 5.0 again) as the series shifts to Montreal on Friday. The Under is 4-1 in Vegas' past five on the road.
Team Injuries




