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    Sun, Oct 015:00 pm UTCHighmark Stadium
    69 F
    Track OnCBS Sports
    Miami
    Dolphins
    MIA
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS10-7
    O/U9-8-0
    FINAL SCORE
    20
    -
    48
    Buffalo
    Bills
    BUF
    Last 5 ATS
    W/L11-6
    ATS7-10
    O/U6-11-0
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER
    Last 5 ATS
    11-6
    Win /Loss
    11-6
    10-7
    Spread
    7-10
    9-8-0
    Over / Under
    6-11-0
    Key Injuries
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OLB
    Avatar
    LB
    Avatar
    LB
    Key Injuries
    Avatar
    OLB
    Avatar
    OT
    SPREAD
    MONEYLINE
    OVER/UNDER

    Simulation Picks

    SPREAD
    MIA @ BUF
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    MONEYLINE
    MIA @ BUF
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    OVER / UNDER
    MIA @ BUF
    Subscribers Only

    Maximize Your Odds of Winning with SportsLine Model and Our Top-Rated Picks

    43%
    PUBLIC
    57%
    MONEY
    44%
    PUBLIC
    56%
    MONEY
    Over82%
    PUBLIC
    Under18%
    Over
    MONEY
    Under

    Understanding Public and Money

    Read More

    Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

    Expert Picks

    Point SpreadMiami +3 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +1053
    63-44-2 in Last 109 NFL Picks
    +781
    19-10-2 in Last 31 NFL ATS Picks
    Sia's Analysis:

    Miami is clicking on all cylinders on offense and have the power to control this game on the ground and through the air. While the Bills have had some recent success, I don't think their defense can handle the Dolphins. Keep in mind the Bills first three opponents have featured Zach Wilson, Jimmy Garoppolo and Sam Howell. The Dolphins offense will be far more dynamic and productive than what the Bills have seen so far.

    Pick Made: Oct 01, 3:32 pm UTC
    Over / UnderOver 53.5 -110
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +642
    21-14 in Last 35 NFL O/U Picks
    +380
    6-2 in Last 8 MIA O/U Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    Over 53.5 - These two played three games last year with the second regular season game and the playoff game flying over the total. do you remember when the Dolphins scored 70 points, oh yeah that was last week. Buffalo has scored 37 and 38 in their last two games.

    Pick Made: Oct 01, 1:14 am UTC
    Point SpreadBuffalo -2.5 -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +285.5
    28-22 in Last 50 NFL Picks
    +300
    3-0 in Last 3 MIA ATS Picks
    Kenny's Analysis:

    When updating power ratings you don't want to get too knee jerk or meaning over adjust because of one good game. There is so much work put into my ratings leading up to the season I really rely on my early work. With the Dolphins scoring 70 points last week it look to me that the oddsmakers and the bettors have over adjusted the Dolphins rating. I still think the Bills are the better team playing at home. The 70 poings by the fish only get the Bills full attention.

    Pick Made: Oct 01, 1:08 am UTC
    Point SpreadBuffalo -2.5 -120
    WIN
    Unit1.0
    +907
    19-9 in Last 28 NFL Picks
    +527
    12-6 in Last 18 NFL ATS Picks
    Bob's Analysis:

    Miami put up 70 points last week. However, they haven’t faced a good defense thus far. The Bills appear to be coming into form after that week one loss and will be able to put pressure on Tua Tuagovailoa. There have been 12 teams in the last 20 years that have started the season off 3-0 SU and ATS, those have gone 2-9 SU and 3-8 ATS in week four.

    Pick Made: Sep 30, 11:30 am UTC
    Avatar
    Total Receiving YardsJaylen Waddle Over 60.5 Total Receiving Yards -118
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +566
    36-25 in Last 61 NFL Player Props Picks
    Eric's Analysis:

    This is my favorite play of Week 4 in the NFL. Waddle topped the 100 yard mark twice with Tua Tagovailoa under center last year against the Bills, as it seems Buffalo focuses on lessening Tyreek Hill's impact. In his last 14 games with Tua as his full-time QB, Waddle has exceeded this yardage total 12 times. He missed Week 3 with a concussion but should be ready to roll this week. I would play this number up to 75 yards.

    Pick Made: Sep 28, 11:02 pm UTC
    Avatar
    Total Rushing YardsJosh Allen Over 33.5 Total Rushing Yards -114
    LOSS
    Unit2.0
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    The Bills have a massive game this week facing the 3-0 Dolphins, and that means we should expect Josh Allen to contribute both as a runner and a passer. He's had at least five rush attempts in 10 straight divisional games, and he's gotten to at least 35 rushing yards in 25 of his 36 regular season games since the start of 2021. In the eight games where he's run less than five times in that stretch, seven have been blowouts of 17+ points and the other was also a comfortable win that featured a garbage time TD in the final seconds. In the type of game expected here, Allen should have to use his legs plenty and get well over this number.

    Pick Made: Sep 28, 2:44 pm UTC
    Point SpreadMiami +3 -115
    LOSS
    Unit1.0
    +2053
    98-78-4 in Last 180 NFL Picks
    +1733
    78-61-3 in Last 142 NFL ATS Picks
    +536
    20-13 in Last 33 MIA ATS Picks
    R.J.'s Analysis:

    This is a tough place for Miami to win but their offense looks unstoppable, with the RB tandem of Raheem Mostert and De'Von Achane adding an element beyond the stars in the passing game. That should put a strain on a Buffalo defense that has played well this season against limited offenses yet ranks 32nd in yards per rush. I also don't think the Bills can count on the turnover edge they've enjoyed the last two games. Take the +3 at FanDuel, because these teams aren't that far apart in overall rating, if they are at all.

    Pick Made: Sep 28, 1:40 pm UTC
    Point SpreadBuffalo -2.5 -115
    WIN
    Unit2.0
    +182
    3-1 in Last 4 NFL ATS Picks
    +190
    2-1 in Last 3 BUF ATS Picks
    Will's Analysis:

    Everyone and their brother is dying to bet Miami and they can't understand why the Dolphins aren't favored after dropping 70 on the Broncos last week. It's a fair question, but it clearly ignores how good a team Buffalo remains. The Bills are good. Josh Allen is good. The Dolphins are really, really good and Mike McDaniel might be the best coach in the NFL *right now.* Having said all that, Sean McDermott is in his bag defensively at the moment and Allen took the Week 1 Jets lesson to heart. If Vic Fangio flips him for real​ then you tip your cap. But everyone is going to back the Dolphins here and be shocked when the Bills are the better team. Well, not everyone

    Pick Made: Sep 28, 5:25 am UTC

    Team Injuries

    Miami Dolphins
    Monday, May 20, 2024
    Avatar
    QB
    Gavin Hardison
    ElbowQuestionable
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    RB
    Salvon Ahmed
    FootQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Zeke Vandenburgh
    UndisclosedQuestionable
    Avatar
    WR
    Erik Ezukanma
    NeckQuestionable
    Avatar
    SAF
    Jevon Holland
    KneeQuestionable
    Tuesday, Feb 13, 2024
    Avatar
    OLB
    Bradley Chubb
    Knee - ACLQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Cameron Goode
    KneecapQuestionable
    Avatar
    LB
    Jaelan Phillips
    AchillesQuestionable
    Buffalo Bills
    Wednesday, May 01, 2024
    Avatar
    OLB
    Matt Milano
    LegQuestionable
    Avatar
    OT
    Tommy Doyle
    KneeQuestionable