It's unlikely this spread will rise to +3, but might be worth buying for the enhanced value if your book doesn't charge too much juice to elevate to a key number. Regardless, there's value on the underdog. Jacksonville looked like a much-improved team amid a 2-1 start but has since dropped five straight. However, all those losses came by one score and they outplayed Denver most of the way last week. This team hasn't given up, but the jury is out on the Josh McDaniels-led Raiders. Their two wins have come at home against lesser opponents and they looked lifeless in a 24-0 loss at NEw Orleans last week. Don't be surprised to see Jacksonville extend the Raiders' misery.

Money has come in on the Raiders, pushing this line up to 2.5, and I agree with the move. Las Vegas isn't as bad as it looked in the 24-0 loss at New Orleans; the flu bug circulated through the team leading up to that game. The Raiders stayed east so they should be fresh, while the Jaguars returned from London where they suffered a heartbreaking 21-17 loss to Denver. Alarmingly, the Broncos' previously pathetic offense put together touchdown drives of 98 and 80 yards in the second half. Look for Derek Carr, Josh Jacobs and Davante Adams to bounce back in a big way and for Maxx Crosby to pressure Trevor Lawrence into a key mistake.

The Raiders have a habit of playing down to their opponent's level and losing. They are 0-7 ATS in their last seven road games against teams with losing home records. The Jaguars have failed to win or cover in their last five games and just traveled home from London. Rain is probable. The Raiders haven’t won a road game this season, but hopefully they were continually reminded about the embarrassing 24-0 loss at New Orleans last week. They should play hard this week, with purpose. Take the Raiders to bounce back and cover.