The Under is 12-4 when the Chiefs are double-digit favorites since 2014, as Andy Reid hasn't shown any interest in laying a beatdown on teams when the Chiefs are ahead. While the Falcons offense showed up last week, the Under was on an 8-2 run in Atlanta games prior to that. With Julio Jones still out, with the Chiefs actually pretty good at defending the pass and with the Falcons unable to run the ball and ruling multiple O-linemen out for this matchup, this seems like a game that the Chiefs win comfortably but don't light up the scoreboard, while the Falcons have trouble getting into the end zone.