The Jets enter this game banged up at receiver, running back and offensive line. The Colts have one of the better defensive units in the AFC and will look to take full advantage of a Jets offense that has been extremely ineffective the first two games of the season. Offensively for the Colts, expect another big day for rookie RB Jonathan Taylor.

The Jets look like the worst team in football, but what that means is that the market is willing to give bettors a discount that you won't find with any other team. This line was just Colts -7 on the lookahead number, and I don't think Indy's performance against a bad Minnesota team is enough to move a line 4.5 points. The Jets have injury issues at receiver but weren't really exploding with talent at the position in the first place. But this is less a play on the Jets, who have a profitable 0-2 ATS trend in their corner, and more a fade on the Colts, who I believe haven't proven they should be the biggest favorites of the season three weeks in.