Simulation Picks
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Expert Picks
In a game featuring two (what I consider to be) evenly matched teams, I'm going to take the points, particularly since the Saints will not have the as intense of a homefield advantage as it normally does when playing in New Orleans. It finally looks like Aaron Rodgers and Matt LaFleur are speaking the same language, and while the Packers will be without Davante Adams, they have plenty of wide receivers to make up for his absence. That is slightly less true about the Saints. The bigger concern for me is Green Bay not having Kenny Clark. Nevertheless, I'm getting the full field goal here, and I'll take that in a close game.
The Packers likely won't have Davante Adams, and they're getting too much respect in this spread based on beating the hapless Vikings and Lions. Look for New Orleans to bounce back strong from its subpar effort in Las Vegas.
The Pack cannot continue to score 40-plus per game, right? QB Aaron Rodgers is unlikely to have his favorite battery mate, WR Davante Adams (hamstring). Saints QB Drew Brees for sure won’t have his, WR Michael Thomas (ankle). Though Rodgers has announced loud and clear after the drafting of Jordan Love that he remains da man, Brees cannot disguise his decline, however slight. Both defenses rank among the top 10 for fewest yards allowed, and the Saints stand third in yards yielded per play.
The Packers' offense has looked its best in the Aaron Rodgers era through two games, averaging 42 ppg with a balanced attack that begins with 208 rushing yards per game. The Saints, who will likely be without star wideout Michael Thomas again, have looked sloppy in both games and should have trouble keeping up. No fans in the stands will take away a big home edge. Packers get the cover Sunday.
The Saints seemed to finally conquer their slow-starting issues in Week 1 by covering vs. the Bucs, but an outright loss to the Raiders on Monday night leaves them just 3-12 ATS in the season's first two weeks since 2012. But here's where the turnaround typically starts, as the Saints are 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games in Weeks 3-4. As the market starts to doubt Drew Brees and Co., this team offers great value to bettors. And that's what's happened here, as this line was Saints -5.5 on the lookahead. The Packers look unstoppable but did their damage vs. two abysmal CB depth charts while not looking particularly great on defense. The value is clearly on the Saints again in Week 3.