Gone back and forth on this one for a while, but now that I'm able to get six, I feel more comfortable taking New Orleans at home on Monday night in a game in which Drew Brees should break the all-time passing yards mark. Mark Ingram is going to give the offense another shot of juice, and Alvin Kamra and Michael Thomas remains a dangerous combination. I do think this will be close in the first half, and Washington may even lead at halftime. But despite the visitors coming off a bye week, this is Brees' night, and I don't think the visitors can go blow-for-blow on the scoreboard to cover the spread.

Although the Saints are no longer an ATS juggernaut at home, as evidenced by their 0-2 mark this season, they should be in good shape to get on track Monday night. Washington has statistically the best defense in the league, but it's a small sample against relatively marginal opposition. The Redskins have been mediocre on offense, and New Orleans should be able to slow their run game. Look for the Saints' edge in firepower to be the difference as they come through with a cover.

The Redskins have covered the last six meetings with the Saints, including a 34-31 loss at New Orleans last season while getting +9.5. The Saints get RB Mark Ingram back this week and they've won three straight since getting shocked Week 1 by Tampa Bay. But this is a good spot for the Redskins coming off a bye and the 6-points make them even more attractive. This will be a close game and the Redskins will have a chance to win. Redskins are the play.

This is a huge number considering the Redskins are coming off a bye and allow 4.7 yards per play, third-fewest in the league. Look for both teams to score in the 20s as Washington covers for the seventh straight time in this series.

The Saints are not a good investment at home; they're a much better investment on the road. Washington is coming off a bye and its defense is very underrated. Alex Smith is going to put up a lot of points against the Saints' lousy defense. This will be a close game. The Redskins might not win, but they'll scare the heck out of the Saints.

The Saints seem to have lost their Superdome magic in ATS terms, while Washington has covered four in a row at New Orleans. Those trends are overridden by the return of suspended RB Mark Ingram, who will ease the burden of effective RB Alvin Kamara. The Saints had to shelve any creative plans for the stellar tandem and now get to dust them off. After a blazing start to the season, QB Drew Brees came back to earth last Sunday, With only 201 more yards needed to become the league’s career passing leader, he will come out firing.

The Saints get RB Mark Ingram back from suspension, which will be a huge boost to their offense as it will allow Alvin Kamara to get back to being the 'move piece' within their offense. Defensively, the Redskins are vastly improved over last year, especially against the run. Offensively, how much can they move the ball against a Saints defense that slowly found its way last week against the New York Giants? That's the biggest question they'll have to answer in this one. I don't foresee them having one in this one unfortunately.