Travis Kelce Fantasy football ranking: 2020 outlook, projections, ADP, value, predictions, stats

Travis Kelce has finished as the TE1 for Fantasy purposes in each of the past four seasons. Should Kelce again top your tight end ranks for 2020 Fantasy drafts?
Hero Image

The 2019 season marked yet another in which Travis Kelce led the tight end position in Fantasy scoring. It also solidified Kelce as the first tight end in NFL history to reach the 1,000 receiving yard mark in four consecutive seasons. Where should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings, and what Travis Kelce Fantasy football outlook can you expect?

The Chiefs have gone full run-it-back mode this offseason, retaining as many pieces of last year's Super Bowl winning unit as possible. Receivers Sammy Watkins and Demarcus Robinson were both expected to find new teams this offseason but will don a Chiefs uniform again in 2020. The Chiefs restructured Watkins' contract to keep Patrick Mahomes' WR2 from 2019 on board, and Robinson was brought back on a one-year deal to complement Kelce, Watkins, Tyreek Hill, and 2019 second-round pick Mecole Hardman. On top of that, Kansas City used its first-round selection on LSU pass-catching extraordinaire Clyde Edwards-Helaire -- making him the first running back drafted from 2020's loaded rookie class. Will Kansas City's loaded offense cause Kelce's league-leading volume to drop at all in 2020, or will he again pace the tight end position in targets and Fantasy points?

The 2020 Travis Kelce Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 1,000-yard campaign. He's an early-round candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:

So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.

Travis Kelce Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)

No. 17.4 ADP
No. 2 TE (non-PPR)
No. 1 TE (PPR)

Travis Kelce Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model) 

135 targets, 95.5 receptions, 1,174 receiving yards, 7.4 receiving TDS
165.6 Fantasy points (non-PPR); 261.1 (PPR)

Travis Kelce 2020 Fantasy outlook 

Travis Kelce has been the most consistently dominant Fantasy tight end we have ever seen and is playing in one of the best offenses in NFL history, yet he might not even be the top tight end selected for Fantasy purposes in 2020. I believe there is reason to believe that George Kittle will exceed his historic 2019 output and be Fantasy's TE1 in 2020, but it is hard to bet against Kelce, who has finished as the TE1 in each of the past four seasons.

There really are no holes in Kelce's game. If selecting Kittle ahead of Kelce, you are banking on him reaching the top of his wide range of outcomes. What I mean by that is it is more likely that Kittle outscores Kelce because of his own excellent play than any decrease in Kelce's production -- both tight ends should be excellent in 2020.

Not only did Kelce lead the tight end position in targets, air yards, and red zone targets in 2019, but he was comparable to some of the top wide receivers in terms of those volume stats. He ranked 10th in targets and 12th in red zone targets last year, and the way he compiled his impressive stats was remarkably consistent. Kelce only scored fewer than 9.8 PPR points in 2019 once, and it was in the Fantasy irrelevant Week 17.

If nitpicking for reasons Kelce's statistical output might be diminished in 2020, you could point towards the fact that Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins were simultaneously healthy for just eight total games in 2019. But, if you separate Kelce's 2020 into the games he played with and without those two both healthy, you'd find that he actually had a higher target and air yardage share when those two were on the field. In a tumultuous season full of injuries to his teammates, Kelce's role remained unchanged throughout.

If Super Bowl MVP Patrick Mahomes is not forced to play through injuries for over half of the 2020 season like he was last year, Kelce could actually be in store for an even more efficient season. If using an early-round pick on a tight end, I'd prefer to take a shot on the league-winning upside of George Kittle. But from a base projections standpoint, Kelce has a much more secure Fantasy floor while occupying a high-volume role as a member of the best offensive unit in the NFL.

Jacob GibbsDFS Guru

Share This Story