Dak Prescott has finished inside the top-12 in Fantasy QB scoring in all four years as a starter, and it culminated into last year's QB2 finish. He now has a more pass-heavy head coach and another potential superstar wideout in CeeDee Lamb. Where should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings, and what Dak Prescott Fantasy football outlook can you expect?
When considering the 2020 Fantasy outlook of Ezekiel Elliott or Dak Prescott, a surprising amount of additional context is required. A lot of familiar pieces from past Dallas offenses remain, but the coaching change and addition of talented rookie CeeDee Lamb cannot be overlooked.
The 2020 Dak Prescott Fantasy football value remains strong, as he's set for another 4,500-yard campaign. He's an early-round candidate in most formats, but how high should he be in your 2020 Fantasy football rankings? Here's what you need to know:
So which players are poised for breakouts, which sleepers do you need to jump on, and which busts should you avoid at all costs in your Fantasy football league? Join SportsLine now to get early 2020 Fantasy football rankings, plus see which WR is going to come out of nowhere to crack the top 10, all from the model that out-performed experts big time last season.
Dak Prescott Fantasy ADP & ranking (via SportsLine's projection model)
No. 57.9 ADP
No. 6 QB
Dak Prescott Fantasy projections (via SportsLine's projection model)
4,668 passing yards, 29 passing touchdowns, 14.4 interceptions, 55.1 rushing attempts, 275 rushing yards, 3.69 rushing touchdowns
383.8 Fantasy points
Dak Prescott 2020 Fantasy outlook
Dallas made some offseason coaching changes, but most importantly, for Dak, at least, was the coaching change they didn't make. The Cowboys retained offensive coordinator Kellen Moore, who rejuvenated the team's offense last year. Prescott's deep ball rate jumped from 10.8 percent in 2018 to a career-high 12.8 percent in 2019, and his 52.6 percent adjusted completion rate on deep attempts was the second-best mark in the NFL. With Moore still in house, I expect McCarthy's Cowboys to be even more aggressive through the air in 2020.
In Jason Garrett's 10 seasons as a head coach, the Cowboys have been among the NFL's most run-heavy teams. Since Zeke arrived in 2016, Garrett's offenses have finished first, fifth, tenth, and eighth in rush attempts per game. McCarthy's offenses ranked 29th, 27th, and 32nd in rushing attempts during that time. In his 13 seasons as a head coach, McCarthy ranked inside the top-15 in rushing attempts four times. He never had an offense that ranked inside the top-10 in rush attempts.
The play calling could look different when in the red zone too. Dallas ran at the fourth-highest rate when in the red zone in 2019, but Green Bay's offenses under McCarthy were quite pass-happy when in scoring distance. During the seasons we have the data available, Green Bay had the league's third, 11th, and second-highest pass-to-rush ratios in the red zone.
The coaching changes and use of a first-round selection on a wide receiver signal that Dallas' days of operating as a run-first offense could be nearing an end. Finally freed of Jason Garrett's game-management relegation, Prescott has a perfect opportunity to establish himself as one of the NFL's elite QB's. He has the weapons and offensive philosophy at his disposal to turn in a career year, and the only quarterbacks who should be selected ahead of him in Fantasy are Patrick Mahomes and Lamar Jackson.