I like fading the NBA team that hosts the All-Star Game. Since 2000, those teams are 9-12 SU and 8-13 ATS (2-5 ATS over the last 7) when their first game back is at home. Denver leads in shooting efficiency and assist rate, while the Clippers, after trading James Harden, are still building chemistry. Darius Garland is out, making it tougher for LA. Their new rotations lack the continuity of the Nuggets' core. Denver's Assist Percentage is elite, while the Clippers are adjusting to new ball-handling hierarchies. Denver is 8-2 SU and 7-3 ATS in its first game after the All-Star Break over the last 10 seasons. I like the road team in this spot. My model makes Denver a favorite of 5.1 points.