The Thunder are 0-3 this season against the Spurs, so why are they this heavy of favorite? Because they are 33-4 against everyone else. A motivated and angry Thunder team will roll in this spot. They need to prove to themselves they can beat the Spurs comfortably. I’ll lay the points.

Too soon to say this is a must-win for OKC, considering its still-sizable lead in the Western Conference and the fact the playoffs are more than three months away. Tonight would be a good time, however, to respond to the Spurs, who might be thinking they have the Thunder's number after three December wins over OKC. The NBA Cup win in Vegas seemed to take some of the wind out of the Thunder's sails, but, conversely, the Spurs have sputtered since the Christmas win over the champs, winning just 4 of 9 thereafter. Roundly outplayed by De'Aaron Fox in the Xmas game, tonight should see a special effort from SGA (and the Thunder) in payback mode. Play Thunder

DraftKings. Jalen Williams has finished under this PRA line in 13 of 18 games this season when playing along side both Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and Chet Holmgren. The Spurs are a tough opponent for Williams, as they rank 5th in paint points allowed. Outside of 10 feet from the basket, Williams is only shooting 35%, including 28% from long range. And with the Thunder’s struggles this season against the Spurs, I expect significant usage from SGA tonight. I’d bet this down to Under 28.5.