Outlier number as our other books have either 21.5 or 22.5, so I'll be truly irked if Trey Murphy scores 20 and I could have played the U22.5, which I did think about first. But with Zion Williamson out yet again (sad but not surprising), Murphy is the main dude and averaging 27.3 PPG in four games this month -- scoring at least 21 in each. Portland ranks 25th in scoring defense.

Why money line? This spread (Portland -4.5) does make me nervous. We just made money recently with the Pelicans as home dogs, but you just can't lose this game if you’re the Blazers. They have been on a long road trip and haven’t played in three nights. But if they lose this one, we'll know they spent too much time on Bourbon Street.