Simulation Picks
SPREAD
HOU @ MIA
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MONEYLINE
HOU @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
HOU @ MIA
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PUBLIC
MONEY
PUBLIC
MONEY
Over83%
PUBLIC
Under17%
Over
MONEY
Under
Understanding Public and Money
Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.
Expert Picks
SpreadHouston -4.5 -110
LOSS
Unit1.0
+3388
234-172-2 in Last 408 NBA Picks
+275
5-2 in Last 7 NBA ATS Picks
+60
25-22-2 in Last 49 HOU ATS Picks
Mike's Analysis:
The Heat can’t score right now. They have not topped 113 points in any of their last 11 games. During that span, they went 1-10 with their lone win coming against the Wizards. Scoring will likely continue to be difficult for them against the Rockets, who have the fourth-best defensive rating in the league. The Rockets are also expected to get Amen Thompson (ankle) back from injury, further fortifying their defense. This is a great spot for the Rockets to cover.
Pick Made: Mar 21, 5:29 pm UTC on BetMGM
Team Injuries
Houston Rockets
Tuesday, Dec 16, 2025
PF
Tari Eason
ObliqueQuestionable
Wednesday, Dec 03, 2025
PF
Dorian Finney-Smith
AnkleOut
Tuesday, Oct 21, 2025
PG
Fred VanVleet
KneeOut
Miami Heat
Thursday, Dec 18, 2025
SG
Pelle Larsson
AnkleQuestionable
Wednesday, Dec 17, 2025
SG
Norman Powell
CalfQuestionable
PG
Tyler Herro
ToeOut
PF
Nikola Jovic
ElbowOut
Sunday, Dec 14, 2025
SG
Terry Rozier
Not Injury RelatedOut