This might be the only time all season that I play someone to score at least 30 points, but Jayson Tatum by all accounts is mega-motivated to stick it to Dubs coach Steve Kerr after Kerr barely used JT in this summer's Olympics. Tatum later called the experience "challenging" and "humbling" and admitted he heard a lot of the noise surrounding his lack of playing time. Our model has him with 32.5 points. Tatum for at least 45 tonight -- no Jaylen Brown -- is +950 and that's real tempting.

Steph Curry is only averaging 19.8 PPG but comes off a season-high 24 in Washington in just 24 minutes after missing a few games with an ankle injury. Coach Steve Kerr said after he didn't expect any more major minutes restrictions tonight, and this just feels like a game where Steph would shine overall: national TV vs. defending league champions, etc. The model has him with a PRA of 35.0. I don't think it's out of the question he nearly cashes this on points barring a blowout.