Victor Wembanyama hasn't come close to topping this number in two of three games this year and faces the NBA's top-ranked defense by far in OKC -- 25 points would be about a quarter of what the Thunder allow per game. Sure, I worry a little that Wemby is fired up facing rival Chet Holmgren, but the Frenchman topped this once in three H2H meetings a season ago. Wemby also isn't shooting well from deep right now, hitting just 22.2%. He's not going to start averaging 25.0 a night until that number rises significantly.