Fred VanVleet has enjoyed great career success playing against Miami dating back to when he was a member of the Rockets. We're also getting a sizable discount on this scoring line as a result of Miami's tough defense. Miami tends to struggle defending the perimeter and I like FVV's chances of scoring at least 16 points in what should be a competitive game environment.

We have noted recent NBA "totals" patterns that have turned back around to the "overs" after a spate of "under" results for the first month after the All-Star break, which some attributed to looser refereeing dictates. Still, among the many NBA teams that have turned around their "totals" patterns are these two, with the Heat "over" in four straight and five of six, and the Rockets "over" in three straight and nine of eleven. Modestly priced tonight in the mid-teens, recent "totals" patterns could continue at Toyota Center. Play Heat-Rockets "Over"