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Sun, Feb 117:00 pm UTCKaseya Center
Track OnCBS Sports
Boston
Celtics
BOS
Last 5 ATS
W/L64-18
ATS42-36
O/U43-38-1
FINAL SCORE
110
-
106
Miami
Heat
MIA
Last 5 ATS
W/L46-36
ATS40-38
O/U37-45-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER
Last 5 ATS
64-18
Win /Loss
46-36
42-36
Spread
40-38
43-38-1
Over / Under
37-45-0
SPREAD
MONEYLINE
OVER/UNDER

Simulation Picks

SPREAD
BOS @ MIA
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MONEYLINE
BOS @ MIA
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OVER / UNDER
BOS @ MIA
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45%
PUBLIC
55%
MONEY
79%
PUBLIC
21%
MONEY
Over60%
PUBLIC
Under40%
Over
MONEY
Under

Understanding Public and Money

Think of 'Public' as the percentage of people betting on each side and 'Money' as how much money is being bet. When there's a big difference between the 'Public' and 'Money' data, it usually means that the more serious bettors (referred to as 'Sharp Money') are favoring a particular side.

Expert Picks

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Total PointsJaylen Brown Over 17.5 Total Points -119
WIN
Unit2.0
+3975
320-237 in Last 557 NBA Player Props Picks
Alex's Analysis:

This line was clearly a mistake by the oddsmakers and moved north almost instantaneously. Jaylen averages 22 PPG and has scored at least 18 points in 34/48 regular season games, good for a hit rate of 71%. Brown has also scored at least 18 points against Miami in 13 of his last 14 games against the Heat, including seven consecutive matchups. While the Heat are an above average defense, they've struggled since acquiring Terry Rozier and have been vulnerable against players that profile similarly to Brown. While this game is likely to be low scoring, look for Brown to be aggressive offensively.

Pick Made: Feb 11, 3:21 am UTC on WilliamHillNewJersey

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Best prop picks are generated from a combination of Sportsline's projection, analysis of the opposing team, and the bets value based on the current odds.

Team Injuries

Boston Celtics
Saturday, May 17, 2025
Avatar
SF
Jaylen Brown
KneeOut
Friday, May 16, 2025
Avatar
PF
Jayson Tatum
AchillesOut
Miami Heat
Tuesday, Dec 24, 2024
Avatar
SG
Dru Smith
AchillesOfs
Thursday, May 01, 2025
Avatar
SG
Terry Rozier
AnkleOut
Tuesday, Apr 29, 2025
Avatar
PG
Isaiah Stevens
FootOut

Season Splits

All Games
ALL
All Games
46%
23-27-2
23-27-2
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
45%
10-12-2
11-16
40%
As Favorite
STATUS
As Underdog or PK
45%
22-26-2
8-13
38%
When Spread was -9 to -6
SPREAD
When Spread was +6 to +9
46%
7-8
3-5
37%
As Road Favorite
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Underdog
45%
9-11-2
0-6
0%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
61%
8-5
8-9
47%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
47%
23-25-1
22-25-2
46%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
43%
18-23-2
21-23-1
47%
vs MIA
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
50%
1-1
1-1
50%
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