Expert Picks
NBA | Cleveland 118 @ Atlanta 120 | 03/28 | 11:30 PM UTC
Atlanta -120
WIN
ANALYSIS: No Jarrett Allen for the Cavs, and that makes a huge difference on the boards and defensively. Cleveland is 6-5 without him this year compared to 42-23 with. The Hawks have won four straight over the Cavaliers in Atlanta by an average of 16.8 ppg. In 16 games since the All-Star break, the Hawks are averaging an NBA-leading 18.4 second chance points, +1.9 points better than the next closest team. More second-chance points should be available without Allen in there. Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 at home vs. a team with a losing road record (Cleveland is two games under .500 away). I am looking at some Evan Mobley props with Allen out.
Season Splits
52-34, 44-41 ATS
44-45, 39-48 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
54%
41-34-1
34-39-2
46%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
44%
17-21
17-19-1
47%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
31%
5-11
17-24-1
41%
When Spread was +1 to +3.5
SPREAD
When Spread was -3.5 to -1
20%
2-8
7-7
50%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
28%
4-10
13-15-1
46%
vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
48%
15-16
8-11
42%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
55%
41-33-1
32-38-1
45%
After a Day Off
REST
After a Day Off
55%
35-28-1
30-32-1
48%
vs ATL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs CLE
50%
1-1
1-1
50%