No Jarrett Allen for the Cavs, and that makes a huge difference on the boards and defensively. Cleveland is 6-5 without him this year compared to 42-23 with. The Hawks have won four straight over the Cavaliers in Atlanta by an average of 16.8 ppg. In 16 games since the All-Star break, the Hawks are averaging an NBA-leading 18.4 second chance points, +1.9 points better than the next closest team. More second-chance points should be available without Allen in there. Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 at home vs. a team with a losing road record (Cleveland is two games under .500 away). I am looking at some Evan Mobley props with Allen out.

The Cleveland Cavaliers will return to the city of their worst loss of the season against the Atlanta Hawks on Tuesday. On February 24th the Cavaliers lost by 17 points and gave up 136 points. Atlanta shot lights out at 59% and even had a 49-point second quarter. As strong as the Cavaliers have been as of late, look for the Hawks to protect their home floor once again. Take Atlanta.

This is a solid value for Garland who is averaging 29.4 combined points + assists this season. Atlanta's defense ranks in the top 10 in possessions per game, while being in the bottom ten in Defensive Rating which is the exactly the mix I look for when projecting potential ceiling games. They also give up a ton of production to opposing back courts. I expect Atlanta to push this pace in this game and Garland to be one of the focal points of the Cavs offense. I expect this line to close between 29.5 and 30.5.