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    Tue 03/28 | 11:30 PM UTC | Atlanta
    SpreadMoney Lineo/u
    Cleveland Cavaliers 52-34, 44-41 ATS
    CLE +3-105
    CLE +135
    Over 239-110
    Atlanta Hawks 44-45, 39-48 ATS
    ATL -3-115
    ATL -160
    Under 239-110

    Expert Picks

    NBA | Cleveland 118 @ Atlanta 120 | 03/28 | 11:30 PM UTC

    Atlanta -120

    WIN

    ANALYSIS: No Jarrett Allen for the Cavs, and that makes a huge difference on the boards and defensively. Cleveland is 6-5 without him this year compared to 42-23 with. The Hawks have won four straight over the Cavaliers in Atlanta by an average of 16.8 ppg. In 16 games since the All-Star break, the Hawks are averaging an NBA-leading 18.4 second chance points, +1.9 points better than the next closest team. More second-chance points should be available without Allen in there. Atlanta is 7-3 ATS in its past 10 at home vs. a team with a losing road record (Cleveland is two games under .500 away). I am looking at some Evan Mobley props with Allen out.

    author-image

    Matt Severance

    Severance Pays
    +3489 106-56-1 IN LAST 163 NBA PICKS
    +2765 86-36 IN LAST 122 NBA ML PICKS
    +295 6-2 IN LAST 8 ATL ML PICKS
    +1147 24-7 IN LAST 31 CLE ML PICKS
    +1680 32-12 on NBA Props Picks

    Season Splits

    52-34, 44-41 ATS
    44-45, 39-48 ATS
    All Games
    ALL
    All Games
    54%
    41-34-1
    34-39-2
    46%
    On Road
    LOCATION
    At Home
    44%
    17-21
    17-19-1
    47%
    As Underdog or PK
    STATUS
    As Favorite
    31%
    5-11
    17-24-1
    41%
    When Spread was +1 to +3.5
    SPREAD
    When Spread was -3.5 to -1
    20%
    2-8
    7-7
    50%
    As Road Underdog
    LOCATION & STATUS
    As Home Favorite
    28%
    4-10
    13-15-1
    46%
    vs Teams That Win 45-55% of Games
    OPP WIN%
    vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
    48%
    15-16
    8-11
    42%
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    OPP DEFENSE
    vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
    55%
    41-33-1
    32-38-1
    45%
    After a Day Off
    REST
    After a Day Off
    55%
    35-28-1
    30-32-1
    48%
    vs ATL
    HEAD TO HEAD
    vs CLE
    50%
    1-1
    1-1
    50%