Was passing on this one if Brandon Ingram wasn't back from injury for New Orleans, but he is. He loves to torch the Lakers after being included in the Anthony Davis trade a few years back. Davis hasn't looked very good in the past two games. He probably hurt himself baking cookies or something absurd. It's only LA's second road game since LeBron James went down and first in nearly two weeks. New Orleans is 22-12 at home.

In his last four road games without LeBron James, Anthony Davis is averaging 4.0 blocks and has recorded at least three blocks in all four. I love this play at plus money. Davis is averaging 2.7 blocks in his three games against the Pelicans this season. Expect Davis to protect the rim once again on the road.

The Over is hitting in a 70% of my model's simulations, with a forecasted final total of 235. Anthony Davis is listed as probable, but keep an eye on Brandon Ingram's injury status. He's missed the last two and is listed as questionable for this one. He's likely to be a game-time decision. If he plays, locking in the Over could be even more valuable.