The Bucks have the league’s best defense and are unbeaten through eight games (7-1 against the spread). The teams are almost even offensively, but the Thunder allow 10 points more per game. Milwaukee leads the league in scoring defense (102 points per game), is second in field goal-percentage defense (42.3) and fifth against the three (32.8). The Thunder allow more than 112 points (12th) and don’t crack the top 15 in the shooting defense categories. The Bucks shouldn’t have any trouble piling up points, and my model has Milwaukee covering in 67 percent of simulations.