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Thu 04/07 | 11:30 PM UTC | Milwaukee
SpreadMoney Lineo/u
Boston Celtics 15-4, 10-8 ATS
BOS +8.5-110
BOS +300
Over 227-110
Milwaukee Bucks 13-5, 11-7 ATS
MIL -8.5-110
MIL -380
Under 227-110

Expert Picks

NBA | Boston 121 @ Milwaukee 127 | 04/07 | 11:30 PM UTC

Milwaukee -280

WIN

ANALYSIS: I simply don't like this spread, which is going to rise, so I'll have to roll with this big number and try to knock it down playing with something else TBA (thinking Denver if Memphis rests players), but I will take the Bucks because Jayson Tatum and Al Horford have just been ruled out for Boston in the second of a back-to-back. I guess the Celtics don't care about earning the East's No. 2 seed. I have to pray that Giannis isn't ruled out, but I don't think he will be in the regular-season home finale and chasing a scoring title.

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Matt Severance

Severance Pays
+465 12-4 IN LAST 16 NBA ML PICKS
+886 30-13 IN LAST 43 BOS ML PICKS
+964 27-11 IN LAST 38 MIL ML PICKS

Season Splits

15-4, 10-8 ATS
13-5, 11-7 ATS
All Games
ALL
All Games
53%
41-36-3
38-40-1
48%
On Road
LOCATION
At Home
59%
23-16
16-24
40%
As Underdog or PK
STATUS
As Favorite
60%
12-8-1
32-31-1
50%
When Spread was +7 to +10
SPREAD
When Spread was -10 to -7
100%
3-0
7-8-1
46%
As Road Underdog
LOCATION & STATUS
As Home Favorite
52%
9-8
15-22
40%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
OPP WIN%
vs Teams That Win >55% of Games
62%
18-11-1
12-17
41%
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
OPP DEFENSE
vs Teams Allowing >102 PPG
52%
37-33-2
35-36-1
49%
in 2nd Game of Back-to-Back
REST
After a Day Off
42%
6-8
34-31-1
52%
vs MIL
HEAD TO HEAD
vs BOS
100%
3-0
0-3
0%