Dallas' offense is starting to pick up to the point where it can be Top 5 in the league. The Mavericks are averaging 120 points over their last six road games. Luka Doncic has scored 37-plus points in his past three games. These teams played on Feb. 8, a 127-122 Dallas win that went well over the closing total of 229. Minnesota is 8-4 to the over in its last 12 games. The Timberwolves are allowing 123 points per game during that span. Minnesota will control the pace, as it plays at the fourth fastest pace in the league.

These teams combined for 249 points when they played the first time this season last month -- Minnesota is third-from-last in the NBA in allowing 117.1 ppg, but has gotten an offensive spark of late from red-hot rookie Anthony Edwards. My model shows 62 percent of simulations finishing Over the total of 229. The Over is 5-2 in the past seven meetings.