My model says the Thunder cover in well over 60 percent of simulations, so you're getting strong value at this number. Oklahoma City is kicking off a five-game road trip after edging Chicago in overtime at home on Friday. The Thunder went 4-1 on a five-game trek at the beginning of the month, winning four of the contests by double digits. The Nuggets are just 3-5 at home and have lost two of the last three. Take the Thunder.