The entire basis to this play is Giannis Antetokounmpo not playing. He is worth 6.5 points to the betting line. Milwaukee is also coming off a disappointing Christmas Day loss to Philadelphia. Meanwhile Atlanta's John Collins returned last game with 27 points and 10 rebounds. He is worth four points to the line, and I'm not sure oddsmakers' numbers have been updated with Collins back in the lineup. Take the Hawks.

The Hawks have lost eight straight and now have to a deal with an angry Bucks team that got blown out on Christmas. Milwaukee has covered seven straight vs. losing teams. Even with Atlanta's John Collins back in the fold, I'll look for a focused effort from Milwaukee. Lay the points.