The Clippers won the first two meetings between these two teams, but Golden State won the latest two by an average of 22.5 points per game. It's the playoffs. The one time of year the Warriors start playing like the Warriors. Lay the points in Game One.

This series is expected to be heavily one-sided, hence the big line for Game 1. However, the Clippers were 22-17-2 ATS on the road while the Warriors were 16-24-1 ATS at home during the regular season. The Warriors should crank things up with the playoffs underway and grab a win to start the series, but I think the Clippers keep it close enough to where I like taking the points.

The Warriors didn't care much about their last game of the regular season and rested their stars. But leading up to that point, they had found their groove by winning six straight (4-2 ATS), including a 131-104 win against the Clippers. The real deal begins now, and they'll respond. The Clippers come into the postseason on a 0-4 ATS run. Warriors roll in Game 1.