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This promises to be an entertaining game between two in-form teams. The Revs have won eight of their 10 home matches this season, and their games at Gillette Stadium have averaged 2.9 goals. Houston is unbeaten since the MLS season resumed last month, and the players should be full of confidence after beating Sporting KC 2-0 on the road last weekend. Their away games have averaged 3.75 goals this season, so this should be a high-scoring contest. Over 2.5 goals has paid off in their last six meetings, so it looks like a great option here.
With my limited knowledge of MLS -- now that we have it, I dive in and sponge knowledge like I did in Europe a few years ago; I enjoy betting/learning new sports with cricket as my White Whale -- this seems a fair price Saturday. The Revs are unbeaten out of the World Cup break. Matt Turner is their keeper, and he was the backup for Team USA at the WC. Turner has among the highest save rates in the MLS (77.7%). New England has one regulation home loss with a +13 goal differential in Foxborough and is 7-2-1 in the past 10 meetings in this series overall. Houston has three road wins this year in eight tries and is -4 in goal differential away.
Both teams enter this matchup riding high, in good form, and with their goal-scoring boots strapped and loaded. The big differnece in this matchup is going to be home-field advantage. Gillette Stadium has been a fortress for NE Revolution this stadium, as they've only lost a single match over their 10 matches at home this season. Carles Gil and Dor Turgeman have led the charge for the Revs, and this is the kind of match you can't ignore the home form. It'll be close, but DNB shouldn't be playable here.